March 20, 2007

Bush Stands By His Lawman: Gonzales Watch Predicts 90% Chance of Resignation by March 27th

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Tammy Wynette must be on Bush’s Oval Office iPod playlist this morning.

Reports are coming in from the left, the right, and center saying that George W. Bush is standing by his legal man, U.S. Attorney General Alberto Gonzales:

That’s why this blog is putting a little more stock in the authoritative research tool relied upon by the WSJ’s Washington Wire: Irish bookmaker Intrade.

At 4:38 p.m. GMT today, here were the odds that Intrade betters were making on Gonzo’s resignation from the top lawyer position for the White House:

  • Resign By March 31, 2007: 39.5%
  • Resign by June 30, 2007: 69.5%
  • Resign by Sept. 30, 2007: 70.0%
  • Resign by Dec. 3, 2007: 98.0%

This blog things these guesstimates are too conservative. Gonzales Watch predicts that there’s a 90% chance that the mounting investigations and political fiasco will force U.S. Attorney General Alberto Gonzales to resign by no later than March 27, 2007.

For a snapshot of the odds, click here.

Technorati: U.S. Attorney General, Alberto Gonzales, Gonzales Resignation, Odds, White House

3 responses to "Bush Stands By His Lawman: Gonzales Watch Predicts 90% Chance of Resignation by March 27th"

  1. # Gonzales Watch - Blawging the U.S. Attorney General » Sen. Specter Suggests That Gonzales May Not Have Been Truthful pingbacked on March 26th, 2007:

    […] Watch takes a keen interest in Specter’s analysis, given that last week we predicted a 90% chance of U.S. Attorney General Alberto Gonzales resigning by Tuesday, March 28, […]

  2. # Gonzales Watch - Blawging the U.S. Attorney General » Bush: Gonzales “Has My Full Confidence” pingbacked on April 1st, 2007:

    […] has remained steadfast in standing by his lawman, despite GOP and Democratics calls for Gonzales’ […]

  3. # Gonzales Watch - Blawging the Attorney General » Bush Stands By His Lawman, Again and Again pingbacked on May 22nd, 2007:

    […] on his Texas ranch with NATO Secretary General de Hoop Scheffer today, the President continued to stand by his lawman, U.S. Attorney General Alberto […]

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